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Chapter 24: A dilemma


The deduction of the battle situation is a very complex technology, and the computer cannot completely calculate all the actual battle results, perhaps some accidental small events can change the results of the entire war, the same troop deployment, the same situation, the same topographic map, the same deduction system, and the deduction personnel of different technologies can get completely different deduction results.Since the invention of the sand table of the ancient earth war, deduction has become an indispensable means to simulate the situation of both sides and formulate battle plans in the war, and with the advent of the space age, deduction has been divided into many schools, and the emergence of these schools is related to the completely different combat methods and environments of space warfare and ancient earth wars, and the accident in the real war situation has also inevitably become a dead knot of deduction.In order to solve this almost unsolvable problem, countless deduction experts have tried their best in the war, using various methods to solve the impact of chance on the situation of war.There is no doubt that this kind of deduction can be very fine, and there is a complete set of plans for the handling of accidental events, but the amount of calculation is so large that the soldiers are cumbersome in executing orders, so that this deduction can only be applied to local battles on a regimental scale.Some schools of deduction calculate the probability of accidental events and their impact on the battle situation, with low probability and small impact being laissez-faire, and high probability and large impact changing the battle plan.There are also some schools that are almost indifferent to chance, and their solution is to reduce the ten meetings with one force, and solve the emergencies on the battlefield and make up for the lack of deduction through huge advantages and maintaining sufficient reserve forces.Of course, there is no perfect battle plan, and there will be no battle situation in which you will always maintain your superiority.War is a military struggle between two or more belligerents, it is a continuation of politics, not only involving political needs, but also involving the international situation, people's will, economy, science and technology, military strength and other aspects, intricate, more importantly, the deduction is not unilateral, when the other side is deducing and making military plans and deployments, the other side is also doing the same, and may even do better than their own because of intelligence or capabilities.If the deduction is not done well, the military combat plan will not be done well, and it is very likely that it will be like playing chess, and it will be swayed by the opponent all the way, that is, the military staff officers often talk about "pulling and fighting."

In military academies, the study and assessment of deduction subjects occupy a large proportion, and students who are gifted in deduction are often recommended to enter the senior military command for internship, and after graduation, they are directly assigned to the internship unit and become commanders or military staff officers who are in the limelight.There is no genre or deduction day that can pat your chest and ensure that your deduction is completely correct.The ignorant are fearless, and in the hole in the ground, there is a fat man who can guarantee it.This guy who has only learned a strange deduction method in the ancient earth for six months has no idea how difficult deduction is.He only knew that in the thousands of simulated exercises conducted on the basis of intelligence and deduction methods, the accuracy rate of judging the enemy's movements reached 99.75 percent, and the accuracy rate of the calculation of the enemy's combat strength, maneuverability, offensive and defensive intensity, and combat range was as high as 90 percent.In addition to the old-fashioned books such as Sun Tzu's Art of War, there is also Zhou Yi in the deduction theory of this ancient earth oriental deduction school.The method of calculation is also very different.Therefore, except for the fat man, almost no one is interested in this set of things, in the modern age of the supremacy of technology, these incomprehensible things seem to be used to calculate luck, and they are used for deduction, which is simply a big joke in the world.The fat man didn't believe it at first, but this complicated deduction system looked very profound, and after he finally figured it out, he was sorry for his hard work if he didn't do the deduction.The results of thousands of battle deductions show that this set of deduction techniques is definitely a science that surpasses many current schools of deduction.As a result, this set of deduction techniques, which contains the Zhou Yi theory of fifty missing one and all things vivid, made the fat man completely fascinated.In its military theory, for unsolvable accidents, they are not treated as independent war situations, but integrated into the entire war situation, and through small forces, at a reasonable time and place, they continue to carry out various actions that are beneficial to their own side, so as to offset the consequences of accidental events that are unfavorable to their own side at the level of the whole overall situation.And the fallback scheme that is usually used is also very well-developed.The core theory of this set of deduction techniques is eight words: stuck in the key and follow the trend.No matter how it changes, how it is transformed, if you grasp the head of the snake, you will be able to grasp the initiative.These eight words indicate that this is a science that is applied concretely in a war as the situation of the war changes, and not a rigid battle plan specified in advance.Now the key is in the Katos Gorge.The fat man is very confident in his deduction, but what about the front-line command?

The battle was planned and directed by the Federal Military Command, and the forward command in Gariparan was only a concrete execution plan, would they see the importance of this deduction and believe it proposed by a special scout lieutenant?

A few hours passed, and the sweaty signal soldier got out of his seat in front of the Albert cipher communication machine and reported to Tian Xingjian that Rashid had not replied and that the two point-to-point communication devices had lost contact with each other.Tian Xingjian feels that this world is really a bit incredible, often the more you are afraid of accidents, the more you have to have accidents, and the more you don't want to come, you can come to something.If you can't get in touch with Rashid, then directly contacting the federal forces through [Antenna] will likely reveal your location, and it will be even more difficult to survive behind enemy lines with mechs running everywhere without the ability to maneuver."

Keep in touch, no matter what, you have to get in touch, you have to get in touch, you have to get in touch if you can't get in touch."

Tian Xingjian gave an unreasonable order."

Yes!"

The signal corps immediately obeyed, and although this order was unreasonable, such an order was no longer common in the army.However, there was still a little strange in his heart: "Is there anything else that even the deputy can't do?"

Use the broken computer of the mecha to make a deduction and dare to send it to the headquarters desperately, as if it is the end of the world if it is not delivered, is it really fake?

Those commanders and operational staff officers are all vegetarians?

”Such thoughts were naturally expressed on his face, and the signal soldier carried out the order seriously, but before he sat down on the cipher communicator, he pouted slightly at the others of the same mech.Of course Tian Xingjian saw it, and he could only smile bitterly, if all the people here were retreated to the brink of death for the sake of this deduction that could not be confirmed to be accurate, I am afraid that all the people would not agree, it was okay if the deduction was correct, if it was incorrect, then he would become the murderer who killed these hundreds of lives.Besides, from the bottom of his heart, the fat man still feels that his life is more precious.However, if the deduction is true, then the enemy must have carried out the battle plan before the Federation army arrives here to rescue the group, and the escape can only be a pipe dream.It is human nature to choose between one's own life and death and a judgment that may be right, and to think with your ass that it will be the outcome.Fortunately, judging from the military situation map, it is not yet time for the Imperial Army to carry out the plan, after all, at this time, the Federal Army is still in the trunk of this tree-like marching route, and there are still very few branches scattered out, and the troops on the trunk of the tree have not been torn apart.There's plenty of time to get in touch with you.Tian Xingjian comforted himself silently.A day passed, and I still couldn't get in touch.Looking at the serious appearance of the soldiers of these special reconnaissance companies, everyone knew that something was wrong, and the atmosphere gradually became tense.There is still time, Tian Xingjian has been telling himself in his heart that he must persevere to the end.Another day had passed, and according to the deduction, the Federation forces in the main battlefield had been dispersed to a more dangerous level, and they did not know that the seemingly defeated Imperial armies had already begun to assemble in front of them in a planned manner.Tian Xingjian couldn't sit still, he couldn't watch what happened, he wanted to rush out and use [antenna] to contact the front-line command directly, but a voice asked himself in his heart: "What if your deduction is wrong?"

”Wrong, that is, for an inexplicable guess, he let hundreds of people follow him to death.Go out on [antenna] yourself?

Without [antenna], a squad of mecha soldiers would also be sent to death.Are you wrong?

Tian Xingjian was in a dilemma."

Lieutenant, may I ask a question?"

A voice rang in my ears.