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Chapter 334: Invincible Algorithm


"Let's all analyze this attack and why it failed."

In the tactical conference room on the second floor of Southampton, Bielsa pointed and a video appeared on the big screen behind him.

This video is from Southampton's away game against Chelsea.

Drogba dropped back to get the ball, with Terry behind him.

Drogba had no chance and was forced to pass back.

Pogba ran forward and when he grabbed the ball, he was blocked by Lampard and could not pass the ball forward.

The forward sprints of Neymar and Sturridge from both sides were in vain.

Everyone watched the whole process first, and then Bielsa asked Martin Hunt to replay it before Drogba received the ball.

Thus, the whole situation becomes clear.

The reason why Pogba can't pass the ball out is because he needs to run up and catch the ball.

And the reason why he had to run was because he came in too late.

Theoretically, if Pogba receives the ball earlier and quickly splits to the two wings, Neymar and Sturridge can pose a fatal threat, and Drogba can also quickly turn around and insert.

Echo in the middle.

In this way, the entire offense will be completely revived.

Drogba was the first to stand up after watching the video.

"At that time, I carried Terry with my body, and also noticed Neymar and Sturridge, but I couldn't turn around, and there was Mikel in front of me, so I could only pass like this."

There are people behind you and people in front of you, so you can only pass the ball diagonally.

Drogba's choice is reasonable.

Pogba also raised his hands and stood up, "I was a little hesitant to step in because I didn't see the midfielder."

In Southampton's tactics, the two central midfielders have the responsibility and obligation to help the midfielder fill the position.

"I've already run over, but I'm not in place yet, but if I run over, it proves that I'm here, and you can press on."

Matic also stood up to defend himself.

Bielsa heard this and nodded, "This is a very regrettable offensive failure.

The reason why I bring it up for discussion is to tell everyone that it is very necessary to maintain good communication and communication."

"If Matic and Pogbardo communicate, then the latter can press forward with confidence, and there will be no situation where he is blocked by Lampard after receiving the ball, and he can be divided into two wings in time, then It’s a very threatening attack.”

"Let's see the next one" As Bielsa waved his hand, the big screen immediately switched to the next topic of discussion, which was also a certain video of the game.

Yang Huan was standing outside the tactical conference room on the second floor, watching the scene in the conference room.

At Southampton's tactical discussion meeting, the coaching staff will raise some topics, and anyone can speak and express their own personal feelings and thoughts at the time, or some opinions of outsiders.

A football match lasts at least ninety minutes and is ever-changing.

Anyone can make mistakes at any time.

From a probability perspective, every attack will encounter serious damage to the defense and fail.

This is inevitable.

On the contrary, the success of an offense that can score goals is an accident.

So players will make mistakes, and they will continue to make mistakes.

Even players like Matic and Toni Kroos, who have an astonishingly high passing success rate, are making mistakes.

For example, it is clear that this player has a better chance, but it is passed to another player.

Or maybe I didn't see it and missed a good passing opportunity, etc.

According to Yang Huan's idea, all mistakes and problems should be discussed and everyone can express their opinions.

At first, the coaching staff was worried that such discussions would hurt the unity within the team.

But after trying it a few times, I found that the effect was quite good.

If everyone has any ideas or dissatisfaction, please speak them out, which will make it easier to let them go.

And there is a saying that is well said, but the dissatisfaction from teammates may actually promote the progress of players.

As for the personalities of some players who cannot accept such discussions, but in such a general environment and the atmosphere, a small number of them can only accept it, and gradually integrate into it and adapt to this atmosphere.

No, Harvey Martinez and Gary Cahill were arguing about an own-goal in their judgment during a defense.

They had such a quarrel that even Neuer was involved.

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The three people were so noisy in the conference room that their faces were red and their necks were thick.

People who didn't know must have thought they were going to have a big fight.

But actually After the quarrel, they gave each other a high-five and shook hands, and everything was fine.

Yang Huan was very satisfied with this situation and liked the atmosphere very much.

He nodded and laughed while watching it outside.

“Not bad, really good” "This is also because your original proposal worked," Marcus Dusatoy said with a smile.

"Who says it's not the case?

When Master Huan proposed doing this, everyone had objections.

But now, we are planning to extend it to the work of each of our groups," Howard Hamilton also said with a smile.

Yang Huan waved his hand, "Okay, okay, if you don't want to learn from others, just learn from that bastard Sun Yue's flattering skills."

All three of them laughed in unison.

"I heard that the research you recently conducted has achieved preliminary results."

"Yeah" Marcus Dusatoy nodded.

It’s easy to talk when you have results.

If you can’t see the results, you always keep investing, which hurts investors.

"Tell me about it."

Yang Huan was also very interested.

The two experts looked at each other and smiled.

"You better say it," Howard Hamilton said, pointing at Marcus Dusatoy.

The latter nodded and was about to start.

"Hey, don't use those professional terms.

Keep it simple and straightforward.

It's too profound for me to understand."

The two of them suddenly felt helpless and funny.

"Master Huan, the research we are doing is called regression to the mean in statistics and mean regression in finance."

"The meaning is very simple.

For example, if a player's level is an average of five points, then when he reaches six points in a game, there is a certain probability that he will return to five points in the next game. points, there is also a certain probability that the performance will be higher than six points, but it will definitely not be six points.”

"If the performance reaches seven points, the probability of returning to five points in the next game is higher.

The probability of returning to five points is lower.

If it is higher than seven points, the probability will be lower.

Eight points, nine points and ten points, the probability gradually increases."

"In the same way, if this player is in poor condition and his performance drops to four points, then he has a high probability of returning to five points in the next game, and then three points, two points, and one point, and gradually increases."

Yang Huan understood the meaning, "What's the use of this?"

Howard Hamilton finally couldn't hold it back and interrupted with a smile.

"It's very simple.

From a player's perspective, we need to analyze his probability and predict his performance in the next game based on his performance in the last game."

"If the study of this phenomenon is enlarged to the entire team, then we can accurately predict the team's status."

Yang Huan was filled with wonder when he heard this, but he couldn't believe it, "Is this possible?"

You know, Redknapp asked data analysts to do this.

But the answer given by Southampton's data analysts at the time was that it couldn't be done.

Marcus Dusatoy nodded with certainty, "Maybe, absolutely possible."

Howard Hamilton also kept nodding.

"This is not just about examining your own team's data, but also analyzing the opponent's data, even down to every position, every player, and even the various changes after players in different positions are misaligned, combined with the team's own Analyze the situation and finally calculate a relatively accurate probability.”

"Once we master such a set of algorithms, we can even predict which player will be used as a starter or substitute at a certain position in the next game, and which combination of players will be used to maximize the team's win. ball probability, and then recommend it to the head coach for use.”

Yang Huan was stunned when he heard this.

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If they can really master this invincible algorithm, wouldn't Southampton be invincible in the future?

But when he asked this question, Marcus Dusatoy and Howard Hamilton both shook their heads and laughed.

"Master Huan, you have to know that there is always only relativeness in this world, there can be no absolutes.

What we can calculate is just a probability, and it cannot be 100%."

"Yes" Howard Hamilton also nodded.

"It's like a duel between wide players, Neymar versus Ivanovic.

Assuming one-on-one, Neymar is 70% sure not to concede the ball.

But the problem is, every duel is different.

The probability of triggering this independently is 70% every time, so the probability of losing the ball is always 30%.”

Yang Huan understood immediately, "This is like rolling dice.

Every time you throw a dice, the probability of getting the number is the same."

"Yes, so, the more times Neymar and Ivanovic are one-on-one in a game, the greater the possibility of conceding the ball theoretically.

The same principle applies to offense and defense."

Marcus Dusatoy kept nodding.

"So, we can only calculate a probability, and there is no 100% victory.

As long as there is probability, there will always be a small probability of things happening.

What we can do is to use this set of algorithms to win as much as possible.

To reduce the occurrence of small-probability events and ensure that everything is as foolproof as possible.”

This is Murphy's Law.

If you're worried about something happening, it's likely to happen.

Therefore, on the football field, it is never possible to eliminate the occurrence of small-probability upsets.

Although Yang Huan was not absolutely sure of winning, he was a little disappointed.

After all, everyone hopes that their team will always win.

But if we can really make the team always have a high probability of winning, or in other words, let the team know exactly how to defeat the opponent in every game, then research in this area will be worthwhile.

Besides, as long as Southampton is strong enough and combined with such a set of algorithms and analysis, let me ask, which team in professional football is worth fearing?

The entire European football world is not letting Southampton run wild.

"I understand."

Yang Huan nodded approvingly.

"You two, feel free to continue researching.

This is very useful to us.

If you need anything, just ask and I will fully cooperate."

Marcus Dusatoy and Howard Hamilton were worried that Master Huan would be a little disappointed just now.

Unexpectedly, Yang Huan would give them such strong support again, and they were immediately overjoyed.

After sending away the two great figures in the data field, Yang Huan walked to the lounge without disturbing the coaching staff and players who were meeting inside.

The little prince of Qatar, who just started playing Clash of Clans, is now completely obsessed with this game.

If it's just him, then forget it.

He also attracted a group of friends and formed a Hamad tribe, which is a group of rich players who treat money like dirt and spend money like running water.

Yang Huan had just walked outside the lounge door when he heard triumphant shouts coming from inside.

"Wow, it's so enjoyable.

I killed a Gooseberry Rick.

Haha, let's see if Uncle Sam dares to come to our Middle East again to run wild.

It's so enjoyable.

It's so enjoyable."

That voice, that momentum, not to mention how upstart he is: