Cotton is a strategic resource, when the supply exceeds demand, the state will open a warehouse to receive, and when the supply is less than demand, the country will open a warehouse for storage.
The strange thing is that this year's cotton is a bumper harvest, and it stands to reason that the market is not out of stock, and the storage and storage efforts are also increased "At the same time, we also increase the intensity of storage, and at the same time, the leadership of cotton storage is a policy decided by patting my head?"
came to the futures company, and the news Lei Hao got still did not completely dispel his doubts.
Increasing the intensity of collection and storage is to collect more cotton from this year's harvest into the reserve warehouse, and at the same time release the news that it will increase the intensity of storage next year, and it seems that the two directions are hedging to offset the influence.
But this could lead to one thing happening: there is more of an artificial factor to cotton prices.
Xiao Peijie and Chen Xizhi didn't think so, they were quite anxious.
The project team is aiming at the cotton futures contract in May next year, which is completely affected by the release of storage, which is completely negative for them.
Whether to withdraw or not is a very serious question, and Xiao Peijie and Chen Xizhi retreated for the first time.
"No, the cotton 05 futures price is 10300, relatively speaking, it has fallen a little, but it is not big, on the 7th of next month, it will rise back to 10545, and there is almost no decline in it."
Lei Hao felt very strange.
"Mr.
Lei, should we withdraw first to wait and see" In the small conference room, Xiao Peijie couldn't help but ask.
Chen Xizhi also agreed: "Our position is very light and we can withdraw at any time. ” "No need" Lei Hao waved his hand, the thoughtful look on his face did not weaken by half a point, but he still said firmly: "I feel that it will rise in the next two days, and the position building work can be slowed down a little, and when it falls a little more, we will replace the funds with positions." ” "It's impossible."
Xiao Peijie's mouth opened wide.
"If it's a 01 contract, it may rise a little, and a 05 contract should fall."
Chen Xizhi also expressed his opinion.
"It rises first and then falls, and then it retracts, I think so."
Lei Hao looked at the two of them and said categorically: "This is a negative, but at the same time, it can also be interpreted as a positive." ” "Cotton storage, but the market demand for it is rigid, and the strength of storage will inevitably reduce the number of warehouse receipts, maybe it will rise at that time."
The more Lei Hao thought about it, the more excited he felt, the cotton was put into the reserve warehouse, and then the supply of the market became less, what should he do as a fund to be optimistic about the price of the market outlook, he should take this opportunity to speed up the speed of building a warehouse.
Then, after the news of the increase in storage efforts is released, cotton enterprises will definitely reduce their inventories before they are put into storage.
Then, can the cotton enterprises really get the list released by the cotton reserves, and the traders will not intervene in the long funds, but they are waiting to be fed.
In the end, if you can't get enough raw materials, cotton companies will definitely turn around and sweep the goods in the market, and what will happen at that time The whole thing is linked one by one, and many market participants are weaving a net driven by profits.
Lei Hao felt that the object of being trapped at that time was likely to be a cotton company.
Thinking about the recent market, Lei Hao is now very curious, what tricks will cotton companies make, what will the market do, and what kind of situation speculative funds are quietly arranged Xiao Peijie and Chen Xizhi felt that Lei Hao's analysis this time was unreliable, and the probability that the price of the underlying securities would rise after the bearish came out was very low.
"Although a slight decline is a good time to open a position, I am afraid that I will not see the bottom."
Back in his office, Xiao Peijie was very worried.
"The most important thing is to have a bottom."
Chen Xizhi also lost his confidence.
To open a position in the long term, to put it bluntly, is to slowly exchange funds into positions.
In the case of long-term bullishness, it is easy to deal with the price of the underlying security falling, and we continue to build positions, but our own positions are actually supporting the price, and there is a degree that needs to be grasped.
When it starts to rise to a high level from 10600, entering the long market is to grab funds with others, which will add a fire to the bullish sentiment of the market, which is not suitable for the project team.
Lei Hao's advice is very simple, when the price of the underlying security starts to fall from a high level, he asks the project team to start opening a position. 10,500 had one or two thousand hands collected. 10400 had two or three thousand lots bought. 10300 has five or six thousand hands to ask for.
Each price will provide a corresponding trading order when it goes down, and Lei Hao's purpose is to eat these sell orders and slowly exchange funds for positions.
He is also very aware of Xiao Peijie and Chen Xizhi's worries, which are nothing more than the fear of not seeing to the end, to be precise, afraid that they will not see the end in the short term.
Although the long-term decline is conducive to absorbing and building positions, if it continues to fall, it will dare to hold 10,000 or 20,000 hands, and it will continue to fall after holding tens of thousands of positions after holding tens of thousands of hands These are all costs, these will lead to paper losses, and these will also lead to the compression of profit margins.
And Lei Hao is not only doing long-term here, his Thunder Investment is also doing short-term.
The money given by Qingyu is long-term, Lei Hao only needs to open a position at the right price at this stage, and Thunder's funds are short-term, and the position is not high, but he will definitely ship at a high level within two days, that is, within two or three trading days, Lei Hao will add a boost to the decline in the price of the target.
Knowing that the price of the number will fall to around 10,300, Thunder's funds have even decided to short-sell at the recent high, and then these selling orders are likely to be taken over by the funds on Qingyu's side.
According to Lei Hao's thinking, although Xiao Peijie and the others did not speak, they knew very well in their hearts that if even one of them was wrong, Lei Hao was using Qingyu's funds to fill in the pit for himself, and he was also filling in the pit for the market.
"The arm can't reach the thigh, hehe, if this is Thunder's project, what will Thunder always do" Xiao Peijie was very bitter in his heart: "The harder it is to see the bottom, the greater the pressure on us." ” "Do your best, let it be the fate of heaven."
Chen Xizhi can only do this.
On this day, Lei Hao obviously felt that the two backbone figures of the project team, Xiao Peijie and Chen Xizhi, were always reporting to him.
The content is also an analysis of the market and personal views, and the purpose is very simple, they all feel that they should suspend the opening of positions, and the underlying price is unlikely to bottom out in the short term.
Of course, Lei Hao can only refuse, his view is that he will bottom out in the short term and be optimistic about the market outlook, and the time is right to open a position at this time.
With his usual strength, Lei Hao almost single-handedly promoted the operation of the project, but after a few days, on Monday the 14th, he also felt that the eyes of several new subordinates were a little strange, as if they suspected him of harming the public and private interests
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