Judging from the current situation, the pressure of RMB depreciation is enormous, the international market is hot, RMB futures are relatively immature, and China has to bear the pressure of many economies every time it intervenes.
But from another point of view, if the central bank admits it once, the greed of capital will lead to another situation, and the central bank has rarely recognized it in history, and it has been tough.
The difference is only in where you are tough, a 10-point cut is a downturn, a 100-point cut is also a down, but the attitude is completely different.
The former means that I recognize the exchange rate, but I am ready to make a move, while the latter is completely "I don't care, I will lower the exchange rate" attitude.
The world's economy as a whole is not very good, and whether China, which wants to save face, will deal a blow to the market is a difficult thing to analyze, and it is related to the multiple games of politics, military and economy.
Su Yi and others also looked at a lot of analysis during this time, and they could analyze a lot of things from it, and came to the conclusion that the exchange rate may be lowered, but the magnitude is very small.
Lei Hao is very clear that Yang Ma attacked with an iron fist this time, and she used a combo, and the foreign exchange market was very lively.
What makes Lei Hao feel strange is that he is also in the same direction for the foreign exchange market operation issued by Thunder Investment, and those people are not directly recruited, why are they so unconfident on the CFD side This is the same thing "The human heart is such a strange thing."
Lei Hao only had a wry smile.
"It's going to be down."
In order not to have a huge impact on the market, Lei Hao only did CFD, which did not cause abnormal trading volumes, and the future information also showed the central bank's decision-making, and this time it would not lose at all.
At 9:15, the China Foreign Exchange Trade System announced the central parity of the RMB on time, and the US dollar was blinded to 65240 against the RMB.
"How is it possible" In the office, Su Yi almost jumped.
According to last Friday's closing price, the offshore exchange rate of the yuan is 65122, and the onshore exchange rate is a little lower, but there is also 65106, that is, the central bank of China directly lowered the central price of the yuan by 134 points.
This is interesting, and this is embarrassing, capital plays well, pressure, public opinion, and trading, all of which are doing their best to perfection, and everyone even finds a good step for the central bank.
As long as the reduction is not high, the big guy will make a gesture of "I give face and I will quit now".
Who would have thought that it was a chaste martyr, and Yang Ma ignored it, that is, 134 down-grade base points were thrown out, and a group of "mouthful" disciples were stunned.
"Now Su can always rest assured."
Lei Hao said with a smile.
"I really didn't expect China to dare to be so tough now."
Su Yi smiled bitterly.
It is intriguing that China, the world's second-largest economy, has kept its currency on the path of depreciation at a time when the global economic situation is poor.
In particular, China is an export-oriented economy, and every time she depreciates its currency, it will create corresponding profits for domestic export enterprises, feed more people and create more jobs.
"That's why I was just going to bring the overseas and the domestic closer together."
Lei Hao sighed.
Thunder Investment and EI were originally more than that, at least they would have been strongly supported by China's power, but now the two are separated, although in essence everyone is almost regarded as an institution, but the connection point in the legal relationship is extremely weak.
This will make EI less restricted by the laws and regulations of other countries, but it will also make it less of a layer of red armor, between gain and loss, or between the two.
"The market does not necessarily give in, and our bearish point is at 65326, which is still a lot short."
Su Yi shook his head and said, but the worry in his expression was long gone.
People in the industry can analyze the overall trend of the future, Su Yi and others also feel that there will be room for depreciation in the future of the RMB, what they are worried about is that Lei Hao has no funds to operate in the short term.
Now it's different, the central bank is tough, what the market is going to do According to the analysis of historical data: a large group of wall grass is retreating, and a large number of defeated dogs are about to start barking.
In fact, less than 5 minutes after the median price came out, the major financial media filled in the data with a manuscript they had prepared a long time ago, and then made crazy accusations.
"Why China's market economy status is not fully recognized, look at today's exchange rate market."
"China's economic development is better than the overall world economic situation, in this case, where does the RMB depreciation space come from" Around the two questions, the experts came out to shout a few words, and then the capital quickly made a choice, so they didn't want to wrestle with the central bank of China, and it was the right thing to slip away.
The first single transaction is 55271,149 points of difference, so that the foreign exchange speculators on some platforms burst their positions, and the platform then wants to hedge the risk, which promotes the pace of depreciation, and finally the market sentiment erupts, and the pace of depreciation increases to the fastest.
In just 5 minutes, the market gave the media and experts a resounding slap in the face, and the offshore exchange rate of 55,347 US dollars against the RMB was able to stop the bleeding wound of capital.
"It should end here."
Realizing the profit on the books, Su Yi was completely relieved, and said to Lei Hao with a smile: "There is no room for compilation." ” "No, it's not easy."
Lei Hao looked at Su Yi and said with a smile.
As soon as the words fell, the Bank of China, as the largest market maker in Singapore, began to show its hideousness, gradually pushing down the offshore exchange rate of the RMB, and the central bank also came out to speak, saying that the RMB exchange rate was formulated with reference to the US dollar and other currencies.
The overall meaning is one: I don't care, I want to depreciate, and I don't accept the war.
If a big country is playing tricks, who can put this kind of problem on Sino-foreign relations, in fact, it is just a small wave.
Since you are tough here, then I will give a step, do you want to give some face in other places The chain effect is fermenting, but the exchange rate market is temporarily settled.
When everyone was ignorant, Lei Hao took 100,000 CFDs and silently waited for the best advantage of settlement, the depreciation of the RMB began to enter the normal speed, and in this case, he did not have to worry about the settlement speed being affected.
At noon, before he even had time to watch the afternoon session, Lei Hao took a plane back to Yangcheng, picked up his parents, and rushed to Shanghai with the two elders.
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In Shanghai, the Qiu family was full of guests, Qiu Xiangnan's old face smiled like a flower, and his only idea now was to let his granddaughter marry quickly, and then tie Lei Hao to the Qiu family's warship.
Lei Hao was still in the dark, he didn't know that holding a larger birthday banquet for a marriageable child is usually for a reason, and one of them is engagement
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