Treat interpersonal communication as a relationship between supply and demand, what value you have to other people, how much others will value the relationship with you, whether it is emotional, money, health and other factors, are counted in the value.
Lin Anxi didn't go around the bend, or he didn't think that Lei Hao would have much effect on people in the system like him, after all, he was not greedy and would not participate in Lei Hao's industrial operation.
But if Lei Hao can give the right view on the development trend of the financial market at some point, Lin Anxi will have to think about how to maintain this relationship.
"In the end, I'm still guilty of empiricism, Xiao Lei can earn a huge amount of money in a short period of time, and his vision can be so bad that he can't ignore his ability because of his academic qualifications, and he can't ignore his role in other fields because he is always busy making money."
Lin Anxi sighed in his heart.
On the surface, Lin Anxi made a gesture of "I was originally so optimistic about you", and began to talk and laugh, and the meaning of closeness between words was also on a higher level.
But no matter how cunning the old fox is, it will inevitably show some clues.
"The day after tomorrow is the Federal Reserve's interest rate discussion, Xiao Lei said last time that he was optimistic about the increase in interest rate hike pressure and the appreciation of the dollar, I also looked at a lot of information in the past two days, but some places are not very transparent."
Lin Anxi pretended to be an ordinary conversation and threw out the topic.
"Where are they" A bright light crossed Lei Hao's mind, and there was a high probability that he would immediately determine the reason for Lin Anxi's change of attitude.
The variable is here, and Lin Anxi, who is a variable, has to bear the due pressure, but he can also fight for the due benefits.
"I'm not very sure about the dollar asset allocation."
Lin Anxi's heart moved, and he threw out his doubts.
It seems to be chatting, but in fact, Lei Hao can grasp the overall situation through future information, Qiu Yuting of course is not clear about the specific situation, and even Lin Anxi is in a state of "self-righteousness".
"In my opinion, the definite interest rate hike will not make the dollar appreciate, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates seven times in recent decades, and then for a period of time, the dollar has weakened four times, one range-bound, and twice strengthened, so the definite interest rate hike is not equivalent to releasing a signal of dollar appreciation."
When it comes to the financial field, Lei Hao is more confident.
Lin Anxi's question is also very simple, he only tentatively asked about the allocation and change trend of US dollar assets by central banks and major institutions before the interest rate meeting, and also slightly revealed the situation of some Chinese-funded institutions and some research and analysis data.
"From a historical point of view, the appreciation of the US dollar is generally the expectation of consuming interest rate hikes, and if it should appreciate, it has obtained sufficient appreciation before the interest rate hike is determined, and now the Fed's analysis of the pressure on the US dollar to raise interest rates, I personally think that it is not enough to be sure, or that the trend of the financial market is not a direction that can be 100% certain."
"The value of the currency is the embodiment of a country's economy, the recent economic recovery in the United States, regardless of all factors, North America has a demand for means of production, and it is a continuous demand, these materials of production are basically part of the dollar assets."
Lei Hao threw out a few points, but they are all data that are commonly stored in the documents, and to be honest, it is not of much use.
In the same document, in the end, different people will come to different results, and Lei Hao's conclusion is also very simple: "The power to hope that the dollar will appreciate is greater than the force that wants it to depreciate, which is an artificial subjective action, and objectively, the dollar also has room for appreciation." ” "As long as it appreciates, money will flow back into the United States, and as long as there is money, I don't know about other places, but the financial market will be more active, and on paper, financial institutions will have a much better life."
"From the big picture, the Fed certainly doesn't want the dollar to rise, at least not now, but they don't want the dollar to devalue either, and the latter is more important than the former."
"During this period of time, the financial market gives me the feeling that the space and rate of long dollars have slowed down, coupled with some other research and analysis documents, I think that appreciation is inevitable, interest rate hikes are also inevitable, and it is a high probability event that interest rate hike expectations are pushed up."
If he didn't agree with each other, he posted data and talked about opinions, Lei Hao said it well, so he turned his eyes to Lin Anxi, and couldn't help but breathe a sigh of relief when he saw that the other party was listening carefully.
"At the end of the day, it's the market smell."
Qiu Yuting shook her head and smiled beside her, she could hear that the subjective will in Lei Hao's views was too strong, and almost represented some variables of the market development trend with her own views.
Unexpectedly, Lin Anxi shook his head and said: "Research and analysis, in the final analysis, is also to give a conclusion, which side is correct and which side is wrong, in the final analysis, it is a probability of choosing one of the two, but it is the probability of choosing one of the two, but it is the probability of choosing one of the two, but it can make a large number of people miserable." ” Lin Anxi's tone was full of sighs, he turned his head and became a little more enthusiastic, and greeted Lei Hao and Qiu Yuting for tea again and again, and the topic became more and more in-depth.
Others don't know whether Lei Hao's point of view is correct, but Lin Anxi already knows most of it in advance, and he doesn't dare to say that he is 100% sure, but at least so far, the probability of being correct has greatly increased.
For example, institutions like the Bank of China, although the profit comes from the fixed interest rate spread and spread, but as long as it moves, the flow of billions of monetary funds, the exposure risk is pushed up a little bit, that is, the difference of tens of millions.
If Lei Hao's point of view is correct, Lin Anxi can stand on the right side, and it's okay to say that the profit or something, it's not his money anyway, but it's okay once or twice, and if this kind of standing in line accumulates several times, the impact will be great.
"I'll stay for dinner, but I still have some Chinese ingredients here that are hard to buy in the United States."
After thinking about it thoroughly, Lin Anxi looked at Lei Hao's eyes with some eagerness, the so-called end of the shelf, he was completely abandoned, and there was even a kind of happiness in his heart to be able to make friends with Lei Hao through the Qiu family.
Qiu Yuting was very surprised, everything was normal in front, why did President Lin suddenly have a kind attitude and stay for dinner Aren't you afraid that it won't sound good if it is spread out "I'll bother you another day, Tingting has just arrived in the United States, and some of the entertainment has already been promised, so it's hard to push it off."
Lei Hao completely confirmed the guess in his heart from Lin Anxi's attitude.
"Then tomorrow, no, there will be a lot of meetings tomorrow, hey, this count, it will be Tuesday at the earliest."
Lin Anxi pinched his fingers and counted, and said with a smile: "Then Tuesday, I will show you a cooking skill when the time comes." ” Lin Anxi said enthusiastically, but he set the time for Tuesday, that is, the day when the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting ended, and the old fox was really calculating
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