If the neutral wait-and-see capital enters the market and participates in the bearish, of course, it is the final word, and if it participates in the rise of the dollar index, it will be a disaster for the Thunder and the Asian Financial Investment.
Fortunately, Lei Hao's move is in the long-term interests outside of North America, and most institutions still want to see if there is a chance to successfully snipe the dollar, and the probability of entering the bullish market now is slim.
"The problem is that the probability of participating in sniping is also very small."
Lei Hao was extremely satisfied with this situation: "And when the time is right, they don't need to have paper profits, they only need to see long-term benefits, and the capital forces of various countries will bring their own dry food into the sniper." ” "May 10th, 510 depreciation, why in the end" is getting closer and closer to the date of the depreciation of the dollar in the future information prompt, it stands to reason that the risk and cost of future information transmission are decreasing, but Lei Hao did not receive the definite variable at all.
Obviously, this is the reason why he does not want to know the fall of the dollar, but he definitely points out that the depreciation of $510 is a sure event.
However, what Lei Hao couldn't figure out was that North America could let the dollar depreciate even if there was a war, the dollar could directly appreciate under the protection of the US military.
Unless there is a situation where the whole world is short the dollar and North America is unable to attack, North America will admit it.
Using a definite quantity to invert variables, Lei Hao can not figure out many clues, just like you know that people will always die, but who knows what the way to die is For the financial circle, what everyone is sure of is that Lei Hao is on the verge of life and death.
There have been several cases of sniping on the dollar over the decades, and they all failed in the end, but the sniping initiated by one person was the first time, which can be completely summarized as market behavior.
I'm bearish on you, and I'll enter the market short, what a smooth market guideline.
The members of the board of directors of Asia Financial Investment have already achieved the reputation they want, and whether they win or lose, they are all figures engraved in the history of world finance.
As the hedging progressed, the top executives of Thunder and Yajintou began to tremble, and this sentiment was also transmitted to Lei Hao through the document report.
Yenching time, Friday, April 27.
"We now have more than $200 billion in short exposure, and we have hedged or similar hedges to close bullish positions on inventory, hard-to-sell dollar assets, and our partners have allowed us to use these assets to raise funds."
"At the current rate, when the Fed interest rate meeting results are out, we will open about 800 billion bearish exposure, and the leverage is not too high."
"But the excessive calm of the market has gradually increased the pressure on us, and we do not see any signs of third-party capital forces entering the market except for Thunder and Yajintou."
"In addition, in order to avoid the risk caused by the volatility in the Asia-Pacific region, the trading department has shifted the coverage area of contracts to Europe and commodities such as gold and oil."
In the office, Lei Hao was listening to Leo, Ye Liu and others making reports.
Up to now, Lei Hao has nothing to tell except for the pressure, how to operate, a group of elites from Thunder and Yajintou are clear.
The Asia-Pacific turmoil and North America hope to win over other capital forces, so we will transfer the target and directly use the contract to cover Europe and lead the water to the east.
Finance to guide the world is really a simple thing, whether it is North America, or the Thunder and Asian Financial Investment, they are all proficient in these techniques.
There aren't many tricks that everyone can play, and the status quo is that North American institutions don't dare to add too much risk exposure to Thunder and Yajintou.
No matter which side it is, if it dares to invest too much, the third-party organization will have to enter the market, but this tug-of-war situation is more in line with the interests of both sides.
But everyone knows that this situation can only be maintained until the day of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, and at that time, the two sides must fight a decisive battle, and whether the wait-and-see forces enter or not will directly determine whether Lei Hao can win.
There are a lot of considerations to be made about whether to enter the market to snipe at the dollar for long-term gains, or to allow North America to succeed in dominating the world again in order to avoid risks.
What Lei Ting and Yajintou are worried about is that the wait-and-see forces will not enter, and what Lei Hao can be sure of is that the wait-and-see forces will definitely enter, 510, there will be a suitable time to appear, although he doesn't know what time it is.
Therefore, the top executives of Thunder and Yajintou were frightened, but Lei Hao was still as confident as ever.
It is also Lei Hao who is stable, and the two relatively immature financial institutions of Thunder and Yajintou are stable, whether it is Thunder or Yajintou, as long as the soul Lei Hao does not lose confidence, everyone can have expectations for the future.
"It's too slow, and we can take on a bigger exposure."
Lei Hao shook his head, he had already made this decision, and from the future information, it can be seen that even if a large amount of energy is added, the market will not be able to let Thunder and Yajin invest in liquidation before 510.
If you have a hedging exposure of 1 trillion yuan, for every 1 rise in the dollar index, Lei Hao will lose 10 billion, and if it is 2 trillion, it will be 20 billion.
The amount that Lei Hao can use to hedge now is 140 billion, but he is not only 140 billion, he also has the support of various contract terms, the simplest is that he does not need to add a guarantee amount before liquidation.
That is to say, if 140 billion is used to leverage 2.8 trillion yuan, and the loss of 1 is 28 billion, then before the loss of 5, that is, before the dollar index rises by 5, Lei Hao will not lose 140 billion, so his contract does not need to be closed.
So is it possible for the dollar index to rise by 5, but Lei Hao knows that it is possible Lei Hao has been trying to harvest the maximum profit, that is, trying to increase the exposure, and finally according to the reminder of future information, when the exposure is expanded to more than 2 trillion, the dollar index will not be able to break 1045 before 510.
In other words, if he can't blow up his position, then according to the analysis of the subordinates of Lei Ting and Yajintou, the risk exposure of hundreds of billions is inappropriate for Lei Hao, and he can increase the magnitude of hedging, increase the amount of expected returns, and also amplify the risk.
In the office of "increasing positions", a group of high-level executives of Thunder and Yajintou were full of entanglement.
Now almost all of the investment departments of Asia Financial Investment are from Thunder, and the top management of Thunder actually knew about Lei Hao's plan for a long time.
The problem is that according to the current scale of hedging, even if he loses, Lei Hao will not go bankrupt, and Lei Hao can afford to win or lose tens of billions of dollars.
And as long as you win, in addition to a little less money gains, the gains in other areas will not be much less, so why increase your position for the sake of money, everyone is so poor that there is only money left.
"If we don't do our best, how can others have the will to enter, what we want is that there is no way back."
Lei Hao shook his head and spoke.
The atmosphere in the room was suddenly solemn
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