Purely from the perspective of economic exhibitions, the financial circle is actually very simple, but the reason why there are many variables in the financial circle is that it is never only affected by economic exhibitions.
From the illness of a country's leader to a war, all the variables will be concentrated in the financial market, or in other words, these variables will affect the economic development.
Therefore, financial institutions never only analyze economic data, they also have to buy or even bribe high-level executives from all walks of life, what they want is to grasp the amount of information in advance.
The Rothschilds, who became famous for the currency war, were able to make a windfall because Nathan got the results of the Battle of Waterloo first.
Lei Hao's meaning is very simple, look at the financial market purely from the economic level, or look at it purely from the data side, the market is like that, and the risks and returns are clear.
But if you add something else, the article in it is big.
Think about it from another perspective, if I were the United States, what would I do, stand stupidly and play the game of "you pump me, I smoke you" with financial forces in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region Uncle Sam is the world hegemon, and he has his own goals not only in the financial field, but also in other areas to achieve, so the problem may not be treated alone.
So is there a possibility, a chain reaction possibility?
Since we want to eliminate the downward pressure, why not be thorough and let the political, military and other fields take this opportunity to let go of the downward pressure on the dollar, open up the upside, and restore economic vitality.
To use the definition of the United States in the circle, it is: Since I am so bad, and I can't make myself better, then I can make other people bad too.
It is impossible to compare with the better, but the United States just has a way to pull the competitor to the level of the worse and then defeat the opponent with its rich experience.
When the whole world is rotten, whoever has the big fist will hold the truth, this is the objective law of economic exhibition.
Lei Hao divided the information, most of the things on the façade are very ordinary to the senior management of financial institutions, the only thing that is not ordinary is his opinion, but this is also the purpose of the establishment of Asia Financial Investment, what everyone wants is Lei Hao's opinion.
"Reducing risks is certainly safe, but how much risk can there be in maintaining or even expanding exposure," Lei Hao continued to analyze in a tempting tone: "Compared with the expected profits, the risks we take are actually not too big. ” "There is a big difference between the probability data in your eyes and the analysis conclusions of the major institutions."
Rui rubbed his forehead, but still with a smile, he said, "But that's what we want. ” "Ray, I'm still the same thing, if you're optimistic, we can give it a try."
A group of old fritters in the financial circle have long known how to choose.
Why do you come to Yajintou, it's not that you want to fight for greater rights, more resources, and more money, since you have something to ask, you must take some risks, starting from throwing the pot to the shareholders' meeting, Lu Yi They have actually made a choice: they are willing to bet on Lei Hao.
Within the Asian Financial Investment Group, in fact, it is a combination of interests, and the Asia-Pacific factions of major institutions have bet heavily on Lei Hao, and they have no reason to oppose Lei Hao's first major resolution after delegating power.
Of course, this trust decays as there are cases of failure.
However, this trust also grows as success stories emerge.
What Lei Hao wants is growth, short selling, buying long, selling short, and buying more are actually the operation mode of financial institutions, and the trust of the board of directors and shareholders' meeting is linked to the operating quota.
You are Lei Hao, you can get hundreds of billions of exposure, your name is Rui, so which side is cool and which side is cool.
"Okay, I want 100 billion exposures in the early stage."
Lei Hao smiled and said a number.
In an instant, the board members who were still swearing to Lei Hao about "we support you" in the last second were directly silent in the next second.
"If I'm not mistaken, we already have a position close to $4oo billion" Rui's eyes were blank: "So, you still need 6oo billion" "No, I mean, on top of the original, another 100 billion."
Lei Hao blinked Yanjing and said with a smile: "For the dollar market, it's not much at all, isn't it?"
"But we're Yajintou."
Rui had a sad face: "Ray, the leverage of 35o, is too exaggerated for us. ” "A margin ratio close to 3O, placed in the dollar market, is very safe data."
Lei Hao tested the psychological bottom line of this group of people, and also paved the way in the future.
Now it is 4oo billion to leverage 1.4oo billion, and in the future, Lei Hao can use 100 billion to leverage hundreds of billions, and Lei Hao will not do this in the future, of course.
As long as you make money now and make money later, when Lei Hao bets on everything, Yajin Investment is very likely to get used to it and look forward to it, which is Lei Hao's purpose.
Moreover, the operation of hundreds of billions of funds is not an exaggeration for institutions like Asia Financial Investment.
For example, if I go to get a futures contract for US dollars for RMB, the face value is 1o US dollars, then the exposure is 1 million US dollars, and I take 100,000 US dollars to buy gold futures contracts, and the exposure is added to 1 o00,000, plus the US dollar for yen, for pounds, for oil, for Swiss francs, for houses for cow dung and other messy things, all of which are bearish US dollar exposure.
The world's trillions of trading volume a day can be regarded as exposure, and then counting the number of contracts hedged by institutions themselves, or exposure, even forward interest rate agreements, can be counted as exposure, hundreds of billions of dollars is really not an exaggeration.
If it is one of those foreign exchange margin trading platforms, give a limit of 2,000 times leverage, and only need tens of millions of dollars as margin to pry 100 billion exposures, but no one dares to do it and no platform dares to give it.
The most important thing is that Lei Hao can not enter the basic market, and the financial investment companies under large institutions such as Keda in Switzerland, Keda in France, Keda in the United Kingdom, HSBC in Germany, and HSBC in India may all eat up these exposures.
If you don't enter the basic market, that is, you don't have an impact on the data, which is equivalent to an over-the-counter bet, and if you calculate the reality that the dollar shocks 1, it is an exaggerated reality, at most, it is a billion-level profit and loss, which is stable when you think about it.
"I can ask about the intentions of the partner institutions."
As Lei Hao expected, Lu Yi and the others just thought about it a little, and then pinched their noses and recognized it.
"I'd suggest bringing the Thunder in as well."
Lei Hao made another request.
"Thunder, you should know that there are certain chips that we can't give to Thunder."
Rui outright refused.
"Maybe, maybe they are willing" Lei Hao asked with a smile: "Besides, I originally planned to let Thunder eat the chips that Yajin couldn't eat, otherwise, I would open more exposure" "OK, OK, let the Thunder participate, Yajin Investment should focus on the operation of the underlying market, OTC gambling is a high-risk area for us, and we should not establish too large positions."
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Rui's face was full of helplessness.
Lei Hao is satisfied, this is the benefit of establishing Yajin Investment, Thunder Since then, the establishment of positions will be so fast that people will be scared to death, as long as the timing is right, they can cut meat on large institutions again and again
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